2018年四月二日 就像预期的那样，整个卡尔加里2018年第一季度成交量的减缓延续到三月份。这并没有什么让人惊讶的，因为去年底销售量还是很强劲的，而今年初又有贷款政策的调整。 第一季度总共卖出3,423单元，比去年同期降低18%、比长线均值降低24%。成交量放缓、新上市房源稳步增加，导致库存可售房源增加哦，总体在售房源吸收率仍然超出了4个月。

房地产局首席经济学家Ann-Marie Lurie说到：“经济形势在缓慢改善，但是还不足以压制贷款利率提高带来的影响、以及越来越严格的审批条件。三月份我们进入了最活跃的月份，增加的供给房源带来价格波动。然而，经济的复苏预计将会防止价格大幅下滑。” 价格在第一季度慢慢下滑的情况下，总体和去年同期没有多大变化，主要因为独立屋总体价格增加，从而缓解了公寓市场价格下滑带来的影响。 真个城市独立屋市场基准价第一季度均价为$502,000，比去年第四个季度稍微低一些，但是比去年第一季度要好一些。三月份独立屋市场基准价为$503,800, 比经济衰退以前的高峰值低3.6%，但仍然比经济衰退期间的低峰值高1%。（换句话说，就是不好、也不坏。）

“目前的市场比经济衰退低谷时起状况要好，”房地产局主席Tom Westcott提到，“对于寻求新房子的买家来说，还是能够在适中的价格买到房子。同时，对于卖家来说，他们也能卖到不错的价格。在任何经济形势下买卖房屋，买方卖方能够被自己的经纪人提供充分的信息才是最关键的。因为不同类别的房屋、不同地段的房屋，市场状况是不一样的。” 2017年第一季度独立屋可售房源创历史最低数量，而今年第一季度库存可售房源比去年同期超出2,573单元，仍然比2015、2016年第一季度在卖的房源数量低10%。春天还会有比去年更多挂牌房源，价格会缓慢复苏。然而，因为房屋类别、地段的不同，价格调整还是有区别的。

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Prices remain stable compared to last year

Calgary, April2, 2018–As expected, slow sales this quarter have persisted through March in the City of Calgary. This is not a surprise, after stronger growth in sales at the end of last year following the announced changes to the lending market. First quarter sales totaled 3,423 units, nearly 18 per cent below last year’s levels and 24 per cent below long-term averages. Easing sales and modest gains in new listings caused inventories to rise and months of supply to remain above four months. “Economic conditions are slowly improving, but it has not been enough to outpace the current impact of higher lending rates and more stringent conditions,” said CREB® chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie.

“We are entering the most active quarters in the housing market with more inventory, which could create some price fluctuations. However, the improving economy is expected to prevent overall prices from slipping by significant amounts.”

While prices trended down on a quarterly basis, they remained relatively unchanged over last year’s levels due to modest gains in the detached sector offsetting declines in the apartment sector. The citywide benchmark price for detached product averaged $502,000 in the first quarter. This is slightly lower than the fourth quarter of last year, but comparable to levels recorded in the first quarter of last year. In March, the detached price reached $503,800, 3.6 per cent below pre-recession highs, but one per cent above the lows recorded during the recession.

“The market today is better than what we experienced at the peak of the recession,” said CREB® president Tom Westcott. “You can find good value if you’re looking to buy a home, and you can also get good value if you’re selling. Being well-informed, in any economic condition, is the key, because there are differences in the market depending on what type of property it is and where it is located.”

Detached market inventories in the first quarter of 2017 were low compared to historical standards. This year, detached inventories have averaged 2,573 units over the first quarter, 10 per cent below first quarter averages recorded during 2015 and 2016. Spring will have more inventory than last year, slowing progress on price recovery. However, the amount of price adjustment will vary depending on competing supply by location and product type.

HOUSING MARKET FACTS

• While detached benchmark prices eased by 0.25 per cent over the previous quarter, the quarterly decline was not consistent across all areas. Prices were stable in both the south and south east districts, while in the city centre, prices improved over the previous quarter.

• Despite the recent easing of new listings, the apartment condominium sector continues to struggle with excess supply in the resale, new-home and rental market. This is impacting prices. Condominium apartments averaged $256,567 in the first quarter, one per cent below the previous quarter and three per cent below levels recorded in the first quarter of 2017. Overall, monthly apartment prices are over 14 per cent below the highs recorded in 2014.

• Year-over-year, attached price changes have ranged from growth of four per cent to declines of 3.7 per cent depending on the sector of the city. Prices improved in the city centre, north west and south east districts of the city. However, those gains were offset by the losses in the north east, north, west, south and east districts. Attached benchmark prices averaged $328,533 in the first quarter and remain unchanged from levels recorded at this time last year.

• Activity within the attached sector continues to vary based on row product versus semi-detached. Semi-detached prices remained relatively stable compared to last year and last quarter, thanks to recent improvements in the city centre district. Meanwhile, row prices eased slightly over the previous quarter, with prices easing across all districts compared to the fourth quarter of 2017.