Springbank Hill Real Estate Report Oct.~ Dec. 27
人们还真喜欢西山的这些设区，第四季度光地皮就卖了四处，最便宜的小地块售价27.1万，门朝北的WALKOUT远山景观地皮售价刚过50万。
公寓售出5套，一室公寓带地下停车位售价为$232,500。4套两室两卫带地下停车位的成交均价为$276,375。
独立屋售价最低的是一套2000年建成的1603平方尺、地下室没装修的前置双车位房屋，售价47.5万，是个好deal。24 套售出房屋均价为$782,975，这给了大家一个大概的印象Springbank Hill 房屋均价在哪个价位段。之后不同房屋售价的区别原因就多了去了，像平面设计布局合理与否、室内装修风格、地下室装修与否、面积大小等等。其中4套房屋售价高于100万，两套是平房。
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Canadian real estate markets demonstrated remarkable resilience in 2012—with home sales up or on par in 65 per cent of major centres—despite considerable headwinds in terms of tighter financing and economic uncertainty abroad. The trend is expected to continue, with home-buying activity propped-up by low interest rates and an improved economic picture in 2013, according to a report released today by RE/MAX.
The RE/MAX Housing Market Outlook 2013 examined trends and developments in 26 major markets across the country. The report found that the number of homes sold is expected to match or exceed 2011 levels in 65 per cent of markets (17/26) in 2012, led by strong activity in Western Canada, including Calgary (up 13.5 per cent) and Regina (eight per cent). Eighty-one per cent (21/26) of markets are set to experience average price increases by year-end 2012, with Regina the country’s frontrunner at eight per cent, followed by Hamilton-Burlington, Greater Toronto, and Fredericton at seven per cent and Saskatoon at 6.5 per cent. The forecast for 2013 shows the upward trend moderating, but values still ahead of 2012 levels in 85 per cent (22/26) of centres. Stability is forecast to characterize Canadian real estate in the new year, with sales above or on par with 2012 levels in 81 per cent (21/26) of markets.
Nationally, an estimated 454,000 homes will change hands in 2012, falling one per cent short of the 2011 level of 456,749. Canadian home sales are expected to almost mirror the 2012 performance next year, holding steady at 454,000 units. The average price of a Canadian home is expected to remain stable at $364,000 in 2012—on par with the figure reported in 2011. Values are expected to appreciate nominally in 2013, rising to $366,500, one per cent above year-end 2012 levels.
“Looking forward, there are a number of factors on the horizon that will serve to bolster residential activity in 2013,” says Elton Ash, Regional Executive Vice President, RE/MAX of Western Canada. “Canada’s economic performance is expected to show signs of improvement, particularly in the latter half of the year, which should bode well for housing markets across the country. Historically low interest rates will also continue to drive healthy home-buying activity, especially in the move-up segment. Last, but certainly not least, there’s no denying the universal appeal of bricks and mortar. Canadians believe in homeownership. The stability of real estate over the long-term continues to fuel its appeal.”
The report found that low interest rates were a major impetus in 2012, fuelling sales of homes across the board. Tight inventory levels also factored into the equation early in the year, causing a flurry of activity in many centres. By mid-year, however, the third round of CMHC mortgage tightening had a noticeable impact on housing markets, pushing homeownership beyond the grasp of many first-time buyers.
The RE/MAX Housing Market Outlook Report also identified several regional disparities. Most notable was the pull back in sales activity in Greater Vancouver. A banner 2011 year and a slowdown in investor activity contributed to the trend in 2012. Yet, moderation was more widespread in the east, with half of Ontario and Atlantic Canada markets (8/16) reporting 2012 sales off the 2011 pace. Strength was evident throughout Saskatchewan, Alberta, and Nova Scotia, where exceptionally sound economic fundamentals drove demand. The Prairies also stood out in price appreciation, along with the Atlantic Provinces in 2012, and a repeat is on tap for next year. In 2013, Vancouver will rebound to post the strongest sales gain, while the Quebec markets post the sharpest decrease.
“Despite all the negativity surrounding residential real estate, the sky is not falling,” says Gurinder Sandhu, Executive Vice President and Regional Director, RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada. “Home sales have moderated, but remain within healthy levels. Greater optimism is expected to return next year, as the economy marks further improvement. Canadians appear to be reigning in their spending, heeding cautionary statements by the country’s financial leaders. We believe that will only serve to shore up the already healthy framework of the Canadian housing market in 2013.”
While first-time buyers will continue to have a significant presence in the overall marketplace, they are expected to take a back seat in 2013 in Canada’s largest markets—with move-up buyers the new engine driving home-buying activity. The greatest advance in home sales is expected in Vancouver (12 per cent), Calgary (10 per cent), Halifax (five per cent), Kingston (4.5 per cent) and Saint John (four per cent). The strongest upward momentum in average price in 2013 is forecast for St. John’s (six per cent), Regina (five per cent), Kingston (4.5 per cent), and Halifax (four per cent), followed by Fredericton and Winnipeg at three per cent. More balanced market conditions are expected in 2013 throughout the majority of markets, with supply meeting demand.
“The long-term outlook for Canadian real estate remains strong,” says Sylvain Dansereau, Executive Vice President, RE/MAX Quebec. “It has proven so in the past, and it will ring true in the years to come. Canada’s major centres are evolving at a tremendous pace and gaining traction on the world stage. As we look forward, our communities will certainly be more vibrant, more sustainable, while our housing mix focuses on density and diversification. The sheer number of developments planned or underway is staggering. We know the market ebbs and flows—that’s cyclical—but the future for real estate remains quite promising.”
Immigration and population growth will continue to support housing demand moving forward. The Canadian government’s commitment to immigration will hold steady, with the country set to welcome as many as 265,000 immigrants in 2013. The greater focus on economic immigrants is already leading to quicker household formation and homeownership than in years past. These two factors will also support the burgeoning condominium segment—along with Canada’s aging population—while the desire for tangible assets props up the upper-end.
中国海洋石油有限公司(CNOOC Ltd. ADS, CEO, 简称：中国海洋石油)周六证实，加拿大政府批准了该公司以151亿美元收购Nexen Inc (NXY)的交易。
这样，中国海洋石油就为完成此项收购交易扫除了一个主要障碍。这项交易将成为中资企业规模最大的海外收购交易，也是迄今为止海外国有企业进军北美能源行业最令人瞩目的一笔收购交易。
中海油董事长王宜林在公告中表示，中海油收购Nexen的提议获得了加拿大工业部的批准，公司对此十分高兴。加拿大工业部认可了中海油收购Nexen的提议将给卡尔加里、阿尔伯达乃至整个加拿大带来长期经济利益。
中海油将把其北美和中美业务的总部设在卡尔加里。该公司还将保留Nexen现有的管理团队和员工。
公告称，中海油还将投入可观资金，作为促进加拿大石油和天然气资源开发的一个长期承诺。
香港--中国海洋石油有限公司(CNOOC Ltd. ADS, CEO, 简称：中国海洋石油)周六证实，加拿大政府批准了该公司以151亿美元收购Nexen Inc (NXY)的交易。
至此，中国海洋石油为完成此项收购交易扫除了一个主要障碍。这项交易将成为中资企业规模最大的海外收购交易，也是迄今为止海外国有企业进军北美能源行业最令人瞩目的一笔收购交易。
中海油董事长王宜林在公告中表示，公司对加拿大工业部批准此项收购提议感到高兴。中海油收购Nexen的交易将给卡尔加里、阿尔伯达乃至整个加拿大带来长期经济利益。
中海油将把其北美和中美业务的总部设在卡尔加里。该公司还将保留Nexen现有的管理团队和员工。
公告称，中海油还将投入可观资金，作为促进加拿大石油和天然气资源开发的一个长期承诺。
更多卡尔加里房地产资讯，请查看链接。
卡尔加里二手房市场保持平衡态势
---挂牌房源持续降低，但是继续增长的售出房源使得市场保持均衡发展
Calgary, 十二月三日, 2012 – 从年初至今，民宅销售增长了15%，比去年同期涨8%.
销售连续8个月两位数字增长，使得市场上的在售房源降低，也源于新挂牌房源量没有相对跟上。然而，售出/流通房源比率显示房地产市场保持均衡发展态势。
由于市场上流通房源量不足，买家特别急切看到新挂牌房源，同时买家对于认同房屋价值的房屋出手迅速。尽管如此，我们并没有看到像以往市场过热时期的疯狂状态。现在的买家更加精明了，他们谨慎权衡各种方案，同时也再三自问：这套房子我家能住多少年？因为他们意识到短线房价大涨好像不太可能。
从年初至今的15%的涨幅使得市场更趋于长线发展水平。历经11个月，新挂牌量已经降至6%，流通房源17%的降幅。每个月的新挂牌房源量始终很低，导致市场基准价从年初至今涨幅5%。
独立屋市场本月售出1,006套，比去年同期涨5%。一般来说，冬季成交量、新挂牌、市场流通房源量都处于较低水平。目前库存流通房源降至2,586套，成交量也低于十月水平，使得市场保持均衡。同时独立屋市场基准价保持$433,600，和十月份一样，比去年同期涨8.5%。
历经11个月，共管公寓市场、排屋市场与2011年相比销售涨幅分别为11%及17%。共管公寓市场2012年总体来说保持均衡发展态势，历经2011年不停往低调整后，现在终于有了小幅价格增长。
11月份共管公寓市场基准价为$248,000,排屋为$282,800，涨幅均为4%。从年初至今涨幅分别为2%及3%。
尽管全国对于消费者负债率、其它经济发展的担忧不断提高，但是卡尔加里的房地产市场始终不肯息事宁人。这主要源于本市移民人口不断提高，薪资、就业率不断提升有关。
价格增长比预期的还要高，尤其是独立屋市场。但是买家还是敏感的，要么他们得把钱花到周边配套设施齐全的设区房子上，要么干脆退一步去公寓市场买套先说。
卡尔加里的房地产市场是改善不少，但是并没有到了接下来要么会大涨、要么会大跌的境地。就业率的缓慢增长、信贷政策的调整、以及石油行业发展动向的挑战都可能放缓需求、抑制大涨，又加上新挂牌量的降低、买家需求的调整，都促使房地场市场保持均衡发展。
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Josh Skapin
Calgary Herald
In all forms of the Battle of Alberta, I fully admit to being a biased Calgarian. Whether it be the sports rivalry or nuances like who has better restaurants or more polite drivers, I’ll turn to the Stampede City 10 times out of 10.
So, it wasn’t a head-scratcher when I saw recent Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. statistics point to a higher average price for single-family homes in Calgary than in our northern counterpart.
What’s worth noting is the widening gap between Alberta’s two biggest cities. In 2009, a few years into the economic downturn, the price difference seemed like pennies.
In fact, if a newcomer to Alberta was on the fence about which city to pick, the cost of a new home likely wouldn’t have made the difference. CMHC says the average price of a single-family home in the Calgary census metropolitan area in 2009 was $547,769. In the Edmonton Census Metropolitan Area, it was $543,243.
Census Metropolitan Area counts neighbouring communities such as Airdrie for Calgary and Sherwood Park for Edmonton.
One year later, the two sides take a bigger step in the opposite direction – where Calgary’s average cost of a single-family home hits $514,466, three hours up the Queen Elizabeth 2 Highway, it tumbles to $490,128. That trend continues and is even more pronounced with CMHC’s estimated closing averages for the two cities in 2012 and 2013 respectively.
If things continue the way CMHC expects, the average cost of a single-family home in Calgary this year will finish at $570,000, while Edmonton’s will be $516,000. CMHC estimates 2013’s prices will be $583,000 in Calgary and only $525,000 in Edmonton. That’s a difference of almost 12 per cent.
CMHC economist Lai Sing Louie says there are a few explanations for the divide. One of the measures CMHC looks at is the new house price index released through Statistics Canada, which tracks the same size of house surrounded by similar amenities in two different periods. That index shows the price of a home in Edmonton is 90.8 per cent of the price it was in 2007, prior to when the economy soured. Calgary is 97.7 per cent of its 2007 price.
“It’s significantly higher,” says Louie. “Calgary has come back more so than Edmonton has since the economic downturn.”
Calgary buyers are also reaching deeper into their pockets for homes than people living in Edmonton. Louie says, despite flat price growth, he’s seen a shift in Calgary buyers putting pen to paper on higher priced homes than people living in Edmonton, adding “that shifted the average higher in Calgary relative to Edmonton.”
“Calgarians like to move-up buy,” says Louie. “If you look around, there are lots of more expensive homes being bought by people in Calgary.” As an example, Louie says just look to the trend in the inner-city where builders are knocking down older homes to put up more modern houses surrounded by central amenities. “That’s happening throughout the inner-city,” he adds.
Economic analyst for the Canadian Home Builders’ Association- Alberta Richard Goatcher says you’ll typically see a higher price tag in Calgary because “incomes are higher and buyers can, on average, carry more mortgage debt and therefore can pay more.” Goatcher suggests land supply may also be an influence.
“In Edmonton, the market is fairly balanced with a good supply in all quadrants,” he says. “Calgary, I believe, has a less-generous supply of new single-detached lots which maybe put more upward pressure on price.”
